Prediction Sassuolo - Bologna
14h00
Just one point separates these two sides in a tantalizing mid-table clash that could reshape the upper half of the Serie A standings. Sassuolo, founded in 1922, welcome Bologna, established in 1909, to the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore on March 15, 2026.
The hosts currently sit in 9th position with 35 points, while their visitors occupy 8th place on 36 points, setting up a genuine six-pointer between two clubs separated by the finest of margins. Sassuolo arrive in impressive form, having secured back-to-back victories against Hellas Verona (3-0) and Udinese (2-1), though their heavy 0-5 defeat to Inter serves as a reminder of the challenge posed by elite opposition.
With momentum building at the Mapei Stadium and league positions hanging in the balance, this Emilian encounter promises tactical intrigue and competitive intensity.
Standings Sassuolo - Bologna
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 21 | +43 | 67 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 20 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 28 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 |
AS Roma
|
27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 51 |
| 5 |
Como
|
27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 20 | +24 | 48 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 28 | +18 | 47 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 45 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |
Parma
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 18 |
Lecce
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 |
Hellas Verona
|
27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 34 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |
Como
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 26 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 7 |
AC Milan
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
| 12 |
Cagliari
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | +0 | 16 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 32 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |
Juventus
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |
Bologna
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |
Parma
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |
Lazio
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 18 |
Lecce
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
13 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 |
Hellas Verona
|
14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 8 |
Sassuolo (9th, 35 points) trail Bologna (8th, 36 points) by just a single point after 26 matches, with goal difference separating them further (+3 for Bologna, -3 for Sassuolo). Both teams occupy mid-table positions, 28 points behind leaders Inter, comfortably distanced from the relegation zone where Pisa and Hellas Verona struggle.
Recent form contrasts sharply: Sassuolo arrive with momentum (WWLWW), while Bologna have faltered (WWLLL). This direct encounter offers Sassuolo an immediate opportunity to leapfrog their opponents and claim 8th position, making it a significant clash for local bragging rights in the mid-table hierarchy.
Recent Form Sassuolo - Bologna
Sassuolo
Bologna
Torino
Brann
Udinese
Brann
Form Analysis: Sassuolo vs Bologna
Current Form State
Sassuolo enters with superior momentum, winning 4 of their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-W), including three consecutive victories. Bologna shows inconsistency with a L-D-W-W-W sequence, currently on a three-match winning streak but less convincing overall.
Attacking & Defensive Trends
Sassuolo demonstrates greater attacking threat with 9 goals scored in five matches versus Bologna's 5. However, Bologna's defense proves more solid, conceding just 3 goals compared to Sassuolo's 6.
Home/Away Factor
Sassuolo at home: 5W-2D-6L, 15 GF, 19 GA - vulnerable defensive record. Bologna away: 5W-4D-4L, 22 GF, 18 GA - stronger away performers with superior goal output on the road.
Key Insight: Bologna's away strength and defensive solidity contrast with Sassuolo's home defensive frailties, despite the hosts' recent attacking form.
Upcoming Matches
Sassuolo
Bologna
Season Stats Analysis: Sassuolo vs Bologna
Attacking Performance:
Bologna holds the edge in offensive output with 35 goals (1.35 per match) compared to Sassuolo's 32 goals (1.23 per match). The visitors have failed to score in only 7 matches, while Sassuolo struggled in 9 games. Bologna's attack is well-balanced with Castro and Orsolini both netting 7 goals each. Sassuolo relies heavily on Berardi (7 goals, 3 assists), though Pinamonti has been less efficient with 6 goals in 25 appearances.
Defensive Solidity:
Bologna demonstrates superior defensive organization, conceding just 32 goals (1.23 per match) with 7 clean sheets. Sassuolo's defence has been more porous, allowing 35 goals (1.35 per match) with only 6 clean sheets.
Discipline & Key Factors:
Bologna shows more aggressive play with 58 yellow cards and 5 red cards versus Sassuolo's 48 yellows and 2 reds. Based on these statistics, any prediction would favor Bologna's balanced approach in both phases of play.
Head to Head Sassuolo - Bologna
Historical Record Balance
Over their last 5 encounters, Sassuolo holds a slight edge with 2 wins compared to Bologna's none, alongside 3 draws. The matches have been consistently entertaining, averaging 3 goals per game, suggesting both teams favor attacking football in this fixture.
Recent Trends of Clashes
The most recent meeting saw Bologna dominate 4-2 at home in February 2024, breaking a pattern of tight 1-1 draws. Before that, three consecutive matches ended level, indicating evenly-matched sides. Sassuolo previously won their home fixture convincingly.
Notable Matches in History
Bologna's 4-2 victory (2024-02-03) and their 3-0 triumph (2022-11-12) stand out as the highest-scoring affairs. The three 1-1 stalemates demonstrate the competitive nature of this derby.
Lessons for the Upcoming Match
Home advantage matters significantly—both teams perform better on their own turf. Expect goals, as clean sheets are rare. Any prediction should account for Bologna's recent offensive improvement despite their historical struggles in this matchup.
Sassuolo vs Bologna - Expert Analysis
Synthesis of Forces at Play
This Serie A encounter presents an intriguing clash between Sassuolo's resurgent home form and Bologna's impressive three-match winning streak. The Neroverdi have rediscovered their attacking rhythm with 2 victories in their last 3 outings, including a commanding 3-0 triumph. However, Bologna arrives with superior momentum, maintaining a perfect record across their recent fixtures while demonstrating defensive solidity with just 1.2 goals conceded per match.
Deciding Factors
The historical head-to-head record reveals a balanced rivalry, with Bologna securing 2 wins against 3 draws in the last 5 meetings. Sassuolo's home advantage remains their trump card, particularly given their recent attacking prowess. Bologna's consistency in both scoring (1.3 goals average) and defensive organization positions them as slight favorites despite playing away.
Main Reasoned Prediction
Draw or Bologna Win (Double Chance X2) - Bologna's current form trajectory and defensive stability make them difficult to beat, while Sassuolo's home resilience suggests they won't surrender easily.
Secondary Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score: YES - Given both sides' attacking capabilities
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 - Expect an open, competitive encounter
Probable Outcome
A closely contested 1-1 or 2-1 result appears most likely, with Bologna's superior form marginally outweighing Sassuolo's home advantage. This prediction favors caution over backing an outright winner.