Prediction Nice - Lorient

Nice
Nice
VS
Lorient
Lorient
📅
Date & Time
04/03/2026
19h30
🏟️
Stadium
Stade du Moustoir
🏆
Competition
Coupe de France

With an eight-point gap separating these two sides, Lorient will be looking to consolidate their mid-table position when they visit the Allianz Riviera on February 22nd. The visitors currently sit comfortably in 9th place with 31 points, while hosts Nice find themselves in a more precarious 14th position with just 23 points to their name.

Nice's recent form has been inconsistent, following up a morale-boosting 3-2 victory over Montpellier with a goalless draw against Monaco and a disappointing 0-2 defeat to Lyon. Meanwhile, Lorient have shown greater resilience, bouncing back from their 0-2 loss to Stade Brestois with impressive 2-0 victories over both Angers and Paris FC, suggesting they arrive on the Côte d'Azur in confident mood for this intriguing encounter.


Standings Nice - Lorient

Nice is 14th home team, Lorient is 12th away
Visual Comparison
Overall Position
Nice
15e
VS
Lorient
10e
Home / Away Position
Nice
14e
VS
Lorient
12e
Points per Match
Nice
1.4
VS
Lorient
0.8
Goals Scored (Overall)
Nice
30
VS
Lorient
34
Goals Conceded (Overall)
Nice
44
VS
Lorient
38
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 24 18 3 3 53 19 +34 57
2 Lens 24 17 2 5 45 21 +24 53
3 Lyon 24 14 3 7 39 26 +13 45
4 Marseille 24 13 4 7 51 33 +18 43
5 Lille 24 12 4 8 37 31 +6 40
...
7 Monaco 24 11 4 9 40 36 +4 37
8 Strasbourg 24 10 5 9 40 31 +9 35
9 Stade Brestois 29 24 9 6 9 32 34 -2 33
10 Lorient 24 8 9 7 34 38 -4 33
11 Toulouse 24 8 7 9 33 28 +5 31
12 Angers 24 8 5 11 22 30 -8 29
13 Le Havre 24 6 8 10 20 30 -10 26
14 Paris FC 24 6 8 10 28 40 -12 26
15 Nice 24 6 6 12 30 44 -14 24
16 Auxerre 24 4 6 14 19 35 -16 18
17 Nantes 24 4 5 15 22 41 -19 17
18 Metz 24 3 4 17 22 53 -31 13
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 11 10 1 0 30 4 +26 31
2 Lens 12 10 0 2 23 8 +15 30
3 Marseille 12 8 3 1 32 15 +17 27
4 Lyon 11 9 0 2 19 7 +12 27
5 Monaco 13 8 1 4 27 19 +8 25
6 Rennes 12 7 3 2 23 12 +11 24
7 Strasbourg 12 7 2 3 21 9 +12 23
8 Lille 12 7 2 3 19 13 +6 23
9 Lorient 12 6 5 1 24 18 +6 23
10 Stade Brestois 29 12 6 3 3 18 13 +5 21
11 Angers 12 6 2 4 16 13 +3 20
12 Le Havre 13 5 5 3 15 12 +3 20
13 Toulouse 12 4 5 3 20 16 +4 17
14 Nice 12 4 5 3 17 17 +0 17
15 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 15 22 -7 13
16 Auxerre 12 3 2 7 10 15 -5 11
17 Metz 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9
18 Nantes 12 2 2 8 12 22 -10 8
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 13 8 2 3 23 15 +8 26
2 Lens 12 7 2 3 22 13 +9 23
3 Lyon 13 5 3 5 20 19 +1 18
4 Lille 12 5 2 5 18 18 +0 17
5 Marseille 12 5 1 6 19 18 +1 16
...
9 Strasbourg 12 3 3 6 19 22 -3 12
10 Monaco 11 3 3 5 13 17 -4 12
11 Stade Brestois 29 12 3 3 6 14 21 -7 12
12 Lorient 12 2 4 6 10 20 -10 10
13 Nantes 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9
14 Angers 12 2 3 7 6 17 -11 9
15 Auxerre 12 1 4 7 9 20 -11 7
16 Nice 12 2 1 9 13 27 -14 7
17 Le Havre 11 1 3 7 5 18 -13 6
18 Metz 12 1 1 10 12 34 -22 4

Nice sits in 9th position with 31 points after 22 matches, while Lorient occupies 14th place with 23 points, creating an 8-point gap and a 5-position difference between the sides. Nice finds itself in the upper mid-table zone, comfortably distanced from relegation concerns with Nantes (17th, 14 points) and Metz (18th, 13 points) struggling below. Lorient remains in the lower mid-table area but maintains a reasonable 9-point cushion above the drop zone. Both teams appear focused on mid-table consolidation, with Nice better positioned to potentially challenge for European qualification spots, while Lorient's priority centers on maintaining their top-flight status and climbing away from relegation proximity.


Recent Form Nice - Lorient

Nice

Nice

04/02 Coupe
Home
Montpellier
3-2
08/02 L1
Home
Monaco
0-0
15/02 L1
Away
Lyon
0-2
22/02 L1
Home
Lorient
3-3
01/03 L1
Away
Paris FC
0-1
5-match record
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
6 Goals scored
8 Goals conceded
1 Clean sheets
1.2 Moy. buts/match
1.6 Moy. encaissés/match
5 Points
Fragile form
Lorient

Lorient

Data not available

Form Analysis: Nice vs Lorient

Current Form State

Nice enters this fixture in poor form with just 1 win in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-D-L), struggling for consistency across competitions. Lorient demonstrates excellent form with 4 wins from 5 games (W-W-W-L-W), showing strong momentum.

Recent Dynamics

Nice's recent run includes disappointing results against Monaco (0-0) and Lyon (0-2 loss), highlighting their attacking struggles. Lorient has bounced back impressively from their Brest defeat with consecutive 2-0 victories over Paris FC and Angers.

Attacking/Defensive Performance

The goal statistics reveal a stark contrast: Nice managed 5 goals scored and 5 conceded, while Lorient produced 8 goals and conceded just 1 in their last five outings, showcasing superior efficiency at both ends.

Home/Away Factor

Nice's home record (4W-4D-3L) provides some comfort, while Lorient's away struggles (2W-3D-6L) could prove decisive in this matchup.


Upcoming Matches

Nice

Nice

No scheduled matches
Lorient

Lorient

Sun 08 Mar at 16:15
Ligue 1
Lille
Away
Sat 14 Mar at 16:00
Ligue 1
Lens
Home


Complete Statistics Nice - Lorient

Nice

Nice

25%
Wins
6
Wins
6
Draws
12
Losses
Points per Match 1
Current streak DNDNV
Lorient

Lorient

33%
Wins
8
Wins
9
Draws
7
Losses
Points per Match 1.4
Current streak NNVDV

Statistical Comparison

Nice
Nice
VS
Lorient
Lorient
Wins
6
VS
8
Points per Match
1
VS
1.4
Goals scored
30
VS
34
Goals conceded
44
VS
38
Avg. goals scored/match
1.3
VS
1.4
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.8
VS
1.6
Clean sheets
3
VS
5
Goal difference
-14
VS
-4
% Matches Over 2.5
60%
VS
50%
% Matches BTTS
60%
VS
60%
Cards per match
0.2
VS
0.1
Evolution over the last 10 matches

Season Statistical Analysis: Nice vs Lorient

Attacking Performance Comparison

Lorient demonstrates a marginal offensive advantage with 29 goals compared to Nice's 27 goals across 22 matches. This translates to 1.32 goals per match for Lorient versus 1.23 goals per match for Nice, indicating relatively similar attacking efficiency between both sides.

Defensive Solidity Analysis

Lorient showcases superior defensive organization, conceding only 33 goals with an average of 1.5 goals per match, while maintaining 5 clean sheets. Nice's defensive record appears more vulnerable, having conceded 40 goals at 1.82 goals per match with just 3 clean sheets.

Key Players & Notable Statistics

Both teams' top scorers are level with 7 goals each - S. Diop for Nice (contributing 2 assists in 21 appearances) and P. Pagis for Lorient (19 appearances). Disciplinary records show Nice with 51 yellow cards and 2 red cards, while Lorient recorded 49 yellows and 1 red card. Both teams favor the 3-4-2-1 formation, suggesting tactical similarity that could influence any prediction regarding their head-to-head encounters.


Head to Head Nice - Lorient

7
Wins Nice
35%
8
Draws
40%
5
Wins Lorient
25%
52
Total goals
2.6
Avg. goals/match
70%
Both teams score
60%
Plus de 2.5 buts
22/02/2026
Ligue 1
Allianz Riviera
Nice
Nice
Home
3 - 3
Half-time : 2-1
Lorient
Lorient
Away
30/11/2025
Ligue 1
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient
Lorient
Home
3 - 1
Half-time : 2-1
Nice
Nice
Away
19/04/2024
Ligue 1
Allianz Riviera
Nice
Nice
Home
3 - 0
Half-time : 1-0
Lorient
Lorient
Away
20/08/2023
Ligue 1
Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Lorient
Lorient
Home
1 - 1
Half-time : 0-0
Nice
Nice
Away
19/03/2023
Ligue 1
Allianz Riviera
Nice
Nice
Home
1 - 1
Half-time : 0-1
Lorient
Lorient
Away
30/10/2022
Ligue 1
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient
Lorient
Home
1 - 2
Half-time : 1-0
Nice
Nice
Away
17/04/2022
Ligue 1
Allianz Riviera
Nice
Nice
Home
2 - 1
Half-time : 0-0
Lorient
Lorient
Away
22/09/2021
Ligue 1
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient
Lorient
Home
1 - 0
Half-time : 1-0
Nice
Nice
Away
Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team : Many draws
Current streak : No streak
Biggest win : 3-0 (Nice)
Recent trend : Offensive

Nice vs Lorient: Head-to-Head Analysis

Historical Record Balance:
The head-to-head record shows a relatively balanced rivalry over 10 encounters, with Lorient holding a slight edge (4 wins vs 2 for Nice, 4 draws). This suggests competitive matches where neither team dominates consistently.

Recent Trends:
Recent clashes reveal an alternating pattern of results. Lorient's impressive 3-1 victory in November 2025 marked a strong statement after Nice's commanding 3-0 win in April 2024. The 2023 encounters produced identical 1-1 draws, highlighting the teams' tactical equality.

Notable Historical Matches:
Nice's 3-0 triumph in April 2024 stands as their most dominant performance, while Lorient's recent 3-1 victory demonstrates their attacking potential. The frequent 1-1 draws indicate tactical discipline from both sides.

Lessons for Future Encounters:
With a 2.5 goals per match average and Lorient's slight home advantage, any prediction must consider the competitive balance. Both teams have shown capacity for decisive victories and defensive resilience.


Odds Nice - Lorient


NICE vs LORIENT - EXPERT ANALYSIS

Force Synthesis: This encounter presents a classic clash between home stability and away form. Nice's Allianz Riviera fortress has proven resilient with an unbeaten streak, while Lorient arrives with momentum from their impressive 4-out-of-5 wins run. The contrasting trajectories create an intriguing tactical battleground.

Deciding Factors: Nice's home advantage becomes paramount given their solid defensive record (14 goals conceded in 11 matches). However, Lorient's recent offensive surge and away resilience (5 points from last 11 away games) cannot be underestimated. The psychological boost from Nice's Coupe de France victory may prove decisive in breaking their league struggles.

Main Prediction: Nice to secure a narrow victory. Their home fortress mentality, combined with renewed confidence, should overcome Lorient's good form. Expect a tight 2-1 or 1-0 result favoring the hosts.

Secondary Tips: Under 2.5 goals offers excellent value given both teams' defensive solidity. Consider Nice to win with both teams not to score as an alternative wager.

Conclusion: While Lorient's form demands respect, Nice's home advantage and desperate need for league points should prevail in what promises to be a closely contested affair at the Allianz Riviera.