Prediction Manchester United - Liverpool

🏟️ Old Trafford
Manchester United
Manchester United
3e au classement
D V N D V
MATCH ODDS
-- J
:
-- H
:
-- M
:
-- S
Liverpool
5e au classement
D D V D V
Liverpool
📅 03/05/2026 · 14h30 Prediction Premier League
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Did you know that Manchester United and Liverpool have faced off over 200 times in their storied rivalry? This clash is more than just a match; it’s a battle for pride and supremacy in English football. As Manchester United struggles to find consistency, having drawn their last match against Bournemouth, they face a Liverpool side eager to capitalize on any slip-ups. This match is crucial for both teams, with United looking to stabilize their season while Liverpool aims to assert dominance. For bettors, the stakes are high—will the underperforming giants rally at Old Trafford, or will the Reds seize this opportunity? Keep an eye on individual performances that could sway the outcome.


Standings

Manchester United is 4th home team, Liverpool is 6th away
⚔️ Who dominates what?
● Manchester United Liverpool ●
3e
Standings
5e
58
Season points
55
58
Goals scored
54
45
Goals conceded
43
Manchester United dominates 3 duels out of 4
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63 26 +37 70
2 Manchester City 32 20 7 5 65 29 +36 67
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58 45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47 41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54 43 +11 55
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 48 39 +9 50
7 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 45 +8 48
8 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 44 +4 48
...
18 Tottenham 33 7 10 16 42 53 -11 31
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34 67 -33 20
20 Wolves 33 3 8 22 24 61 -37 17
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Manchester City 16 12 3 1 38 12 +26 39
2 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
3 Aston Villa 17 11 2 4 27 18 +9 35
4 Manchester United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Brighton 17 8 6 3 27 17 +10 30
7 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
8 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
...
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11
20 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Arsenal 17 9 5 3 27 15 +12 32
2 Manchester City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 17 7 4 6 30 24 +6 25
4 Manchester United 17 6 7 4 27 26 +1 25
5 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 +0 25
6 Liverpool 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
7 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
8 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
9 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 27 33 -6 22
...
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 17 2 3 12 19 42 -23 9
20 Wolves 17 0 5 12 7 30 -23 5

Manchester United sits just 3 points ahead of Liverpool, making this clash crucial for both teams as they vie for European spots. With United’s solid home form, they've shown resilience, while Liverpool's away struggles highlight their inconsistency. This match is a direct battle within the top five, amplifying its importance. For bettors, Manchester United emerges as the logical favorite based on their recent momentum, having gained more points in their last few matches compared to Liverpool’s declining trajectory. Expect a fierce contest where the stakes are high and every point counts.


Recent Form

Manchester United

Manchester United

D
V
N
D
V
04/03 PL
EXT
Newcastle
1-2
15/03 PL
DOM
Aston Villa
3-1
20/03 PL
EXT
Bournemouth
2-2
13/04 PL
DOM
Leeds
1-2
18/04 PL
EXT
Chelsea
1-0
5-match record
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
8 Goals scored
7 Goals conceded
1 Clean sheets
1.6 Moy. buts/match
1.4 Moy. encaissés/match
7 Points
Decent form
Liverpool

Liverpool

D
D
V
D
V
04/04 Coupe
EXT
Manchester City
0-4
08/04 C1
EXT
Paris Saint Germain
0-2
11/04 PL
DOM
Fulham
2-0
14/04 C1
DOM
Paris Saint Germain
0-2
19/04 PL
EXT
Everton
2-1
5-match record
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
4 Goals scored
9 Goals conceded
1 Clean sheets
0.8 Avg. goals/match
1.8 Avg. conceded/match
6 Points
Decent form

Manchester United is demonstrating a positive trajectory, having shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches. Their confidence is boosted by a solid home record, where they’ve consistently found the back of the net while maintaining a respectable defensive line. Notably, their recent victory over Aston Villa—a team in the top half—highlights their ability to perform against quality opposition.

In contrast, Liverpool is on a downward spiral, suffering three defeats in their last five matches. Their struggles are evident, particularly in away games where they’ve conceded more than they’ve scored. The defeat against Manchester City—a top contender—exposes defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a resurgent United side. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored; Liverpool's recent form may leave them doubting their capabilities, especially against a confident United team.


Upcoming Matches

Manchester United

Manchester United

Mon 27 Apr at 19:00
Premier League
Brentford
Home
Sat 09 May at 14:00
Premier League
Sunderland
Away
Liverpool

Liverpool

Sat 25 Apr at 14:00
Premier League
Crystal Palace
Home
Sat 09 May at 11:30
Premier League
Chelsea
Home
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Complete Statistics

Current season — 33 matches played

● Manchester United VS Liverpool ●
16
Wins
16
1.8
Points per Match
1.7
58
Goals scored
54
45
Goals conceded
43
1.8
Avg. goals scored/match
1.6
1.4
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.3
6
Clean sheets
10
13
Goal difference
11
📈 Evolution over the last 10 matches
⚽ Cumulative goals over the last 10 matches

Key Scorers: For Team A, B. Mbeumo and B. Šeško both lead with 9 goals each, contributing significantly to the team's total of 56 goals. This indicates a balanced offensive threat, reducing dependency on a single player. Meanwhile, Team B's H. Ekitike has scored 11 goals, showcasing his importance as the primary scoring option.

Offensive Dependency: Team A's dual scoring options mean they aren't overly reliant on one player, which is crucial in mitigating risks associated with injuries or suspensions. In contrast, if Ekitike is neutralized, Team B may struggle to find the net, highlighting a potential vulnerability.

Betting Markets: Both teams have shown tendencies for Over 2.5 goals in their matches, with Team A's attacking prowess suggesting a high likelihood of goals. Additionally, both teams have a solid BTTS (Both Teams to Score) percentage, making this market an enticing option for punters.

Cards and Discipline: Team A averages 4.2 yellow cards per match, indicating a more aggressive style of play that can lead to fouls. This discipline might affect their performance, especially in high-pressure situations. Keep an eye on potential card counts during the match.

Injuries: No significant absences are reported for either team, ensuring both can field their strongest lineups.


Head to Head

19 recent matches

MANCHESTER UNITED
4
21%
Draws
6
32%
LIVERPOOL
9
47%
64 Total goals
3.4 Avg. goals/match
47% Both teams score
74% Over 2.5
19/10/2025
Liverpool
1 – 2
(0-1)
Manchester United
✓ Man
05/01/2025
Liverpool
2 – 2
(0-0)
Manchester United
NUL
01/09/2024
Manchester United
0 – 3
(0-2)
Liverpool
✓ Liv
03/08/2024
Manchester United
0 – 3
(0-2)
Liverpool
✓ Liv
07/04/2024
Manchester United
2 – 2
(0-1)
Liverpool
NUL
17/12/2023
Liverpool
0 – 0
(0-0)
Manchester United
NUL
05/03/2023
Liverpool
7 – 0
(1-0)
Manchester United
✓ Liv
22/08/2022
Manchester United
2 – 1
(1-0)
Liverpool
✓ Man
📊 Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Liverpool
Current streak No streak
Biggest win 7-0 (Liverpool)
Recent trend Offensive

Evolution of the Rivalry: Historically, Liverpool had the upper hand, but recent matchups show Manchester United gaining momentum with two wins in the last three encounters. This shift suggests a psychological advantage for United, potentially impacting Liverpool's confidence.

Score Patterns: The recent games tend to be high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.4 goals per match, with scores typically favoring both teams. Expect tight contests, but also be prepared for open play as seen in the recent 2-2 draw.

Home Factor: Liverpool generally performs well at Anfield, but Manchester United’s recent victories indicate that home advantage might not be as decisive as before. United's away win last October further illustrates their ability to challenge Liverpool on their turf.

Betting Value: With a history of high-scoring games, betting on Over 2.5 goals could be a smart move, especially if odds remain favorable. The trend suggests this bet is worth considering for profitable returns.



Manchester United wins: With their higher league standing and average of 1.8 goals per game, they possess a more potent offensive threat compared to Liverpool’s solid defense. Additionally, their recent draw against Manchester City showcases their resilience in challenging matches.

Over 2.5 goals: Given both teams' attacking capabilities and Liverpool’s history of high-scoring encounters against Manchester United, this match is likely to see at least three goals. Both sides have the firepower to break through the opponent's defenses.

Value Bet: Consider betting on Manchester United to win by exactly one goal. This offers attractive odds, reflecting their current form and the closely matched nature of this rivalry.

The odds may not fully capture United's superior form and league position, suggesting a potential undervaluation of their winning chances. However, caution is warranted as this is a high-stakes derby, often leading to unpredictable outcomes.

Exact Score Prediction: 2-1 in favor of Manchester United: This scoreline reflects the likelihood of both teams scoring while favoring United's attacking advantage, especially given their ability to pressure Liverpool's defense.


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