Prediction Amiens - Estac Troyes
19h45
A fascinating clash of contrasts awaits at the Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne on March 2nd, as struggling Amiens host runaway leaders Estac Troyes in what promises to be a captivating encounter between two teams heading in opposite directions.
The hosts, founded in 1901, find themselves in a precarious 16th position with just 22 points, desperately seeking consistency after a mixed recent run that included a thrilling 4-3 victory over Clermont Foot sandwiched between defeats to Dunkerque and Toulouse. Meanwhile, visitors Estac Troyes, established in 1986, sit comfortably atop the table with 42 points despite recent stumbles, including consecutive losses to Nancy and Lens following a goalless draw with Bastia.
With a 20-point gap separating these sides, this intriguing matchup offers Amiens a chance for redemption against vulnerable league leaders.
Standings Amiens - Estac Troyes
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 29 | +15 | 46 |
| 2 |
Estac Troyes
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 25 | +13 | 45 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 42 |
| 4 |
Le Mans
|
25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 41 |
| 5 |
RED Star FC 93
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 41 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 13 |
Clermont Foot
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 |
Boulogne
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nancy
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 |
Amiens
|
24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 |
Laval
|
25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 |
Bastia
|
25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 18 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Estac Troyes
|
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 15 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |
Reims
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |
Saint Etienne
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 |
Le Mans
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Montpellier
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 21 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 14 |
Nancy
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |
Boulogne
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |
Bastia
|
13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RED Star FC 93
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |
Saint Etienne
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |
Annecy
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 4 |
PAU
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 20 | +0 | 19 |
| 5 |
Rodez
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 19 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 8 |
Le Mans
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Boulogne
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Guingamp
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | +0 | 16 |
| 11 |
Estac Troyes
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 14 |
| 12 |
Montpellier
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 |
Laval
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 |
Nancy
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 |
Clermont Foot
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 |
Grenoble
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Bastia
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 |
Amiens (16th, 22 points) and Estac Troyes (1st, 42 points) are separated by a massive 20-point gap after 23 matches. While Troyes leads the championship with a 3-point advantage over Reims, Amiens finds itself in the relegation playoff zone, just above the direct relegation spots occupied by Laval and Bastia.
This encounter highlights contrasting realities: Troyes aims to maintain its leadership position despite recent struggles (DLLLW), while Amiens desperately needs points to escape the danger zone. The 15-point gap reflects the gulf between a title contender and a team fighting for survival in the lower half of the table.
Recent Form Amiens - Estac Troyes
Amiens
Grenoble
Toulouse
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
Reims
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Lens
Nancy
Bastia
PAU
Form Analysis: Amiens vs Estac Troyes
Current Form State
Amiens enters with mixed recent form (D-L-L-W-L), securing 4 points from their last 5 matches. Estac Troyes is in poor form with just 1 point from 5 games (L-L-L-L-D), showing significant struggles.
Recent Performance Dynamics
Amiens demonstrated attacking intent with 6 goals scored but defensive frailties with 8 conceded. Troyes managed only 3 goals while shipping 9, highlighting both offensive and defensive concerns in their recent run.
Attacking/Defensive Analysis
Amiens shows superior attacking output (6 vs 3 goals) but both teams display defensive vulnerabilities. Troyes' goal drought is particularly concerning with minimal creativity in recent fixtures.
Home/Away Factor
Crucially, Troyes excels at home (9W-1D-2L, 24 goals for) but struggles away. Amiens performs better away (4W-1D-6L) than at home (2W-3D-7L), suggesting venue advantage may favor the visitors.
Upcoming Matches
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Season Statistical Analysis: Amiens vs Estac Troyes
Attacking Performance Comparison
Estac Troyes demonstrates superior offensive capabilities with 34 goals scored compared to Amiens' 28 goals. Troyes averages 1.5 goals per match versus Amiens' 1.2 goals per match, indicating a more consistent attacking threat throughout their 23 matches played.
Defensive Solidity Analysis
The defensive statistics reveal a stark contrast between both teams. Estac Troyes showcases exceptional defensive organization, conceding only 22 goals with 8 clean sheets and averaging just 1.0 goal conceded per match. Conversely, Amiens struggles defensively with 39 goals conceded, merely 4 clean sheets, and 1.7 goals conceded per match.
Notable Statistics & Key Players
Disciplinary records show Amiens accumulated 49 yellow cards while Troyes received 56 yellow cards. T. Bentayeb emerges as Troyes' standout performer with 10 goals and 1 assist in 17 appearances. Amiens relies on T. Averlant who contributed 5 goals and 1 assist across 23 appearances. Based on these comprehensive statistics, any prediction would favor Estac Troyes' balanced approach combining solid defense with superior attacking output.
Head to Head Amiens - Estac Troyes
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Odds Amiens - Estac Troyes
FINAL MATCH ANALYSIS: AMIENS vs ESTAC TROYES
Synthesis of Forces: This Ligue 2 encounter presents a classic David vs Goliath scenario. Amiens brings home advantage and fresh attacking momentum from their thrilling 4-3 victory over Clermont, while Estac Troyes arrives as league leaders with superior consistency, boasting 12 wins from 23 matches and an impressive +12 goal difference.
Deciding Factors: Troyes' psychological edge cannot be understated—7 victories in their last 10 meetings against Amiens demonstrates tactical superiority. Their defensive solidity (22 goals conceded) contrasts sharply with Amiens' recent high-scoring affairs, suggesting better structural organization. Troyes' away form consistency throughout the season indicates they won't be intimidated by the Stade Crédit Agricole atmosphere.
Main Prediction: Estac Troyes to win 2-1. Their league-topping form and historical dominance should overcome Amiens' home advantage.
Secondary Tips: Both Teams to Score (Yes) offers excellent value given Amiens' attacking potential. Under 2.5 goals also presents opportunity, considering Troyes' defensive discipline.
Conclusion: Expect Troyes' superior consistency and psychological advantage to prevail, though Amiens will likely find the net through their recent attacking confidence.