Prediction Udinese - Fiorentina
19h45
Eight points separate these two sides, but recent form suggests this Serie A encounter at the Bluenergy Stadium on March 2, 2026 could be more competitive than the table indicates. Udinese, sitting comfortably in 11th place with 32 points, have endured a turbulent run with back-to-back defeats against Bologna (0-1) and Sassuolo (1-2) before recovering against Lecce (2-1). Meanwhile, Fiorentina, languishing in 16th position on 24 points, arrive with mixed fortunes—impressive victories over Pisa (1-0) and Jagiellonia (3-0) undermined by a setback against Como (1-2). The Viola desperately need points to ease relegation concerns, while the home side seeks consistency to cement their mid-table security.
Standings Udinese - Fiorentina
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 21 | +43 | 67 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 20 | +23 | 57 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 28 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 |
AS Roma
|
27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 19 | +18 | 51 |
| 5 |
Como
|
27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 20 | +24 | 48 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 9 |
Bologna
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |
Parma
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 33 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 |
Hellas Verona
|
27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 12 | +26 | 34 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 |
Napoli
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |
Como
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 26 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 11 |
Torino
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
| 12 |
Cagliari
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | +0 | 16 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 |
Cremonese
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 32 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 22 |
| ... | |||||||||
| 8 |
Parma
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |
Lazio
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 13 |
| 15 |
Cremonese
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 |
Genoa
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
13 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 |
Hellas Verona
|
14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 8 |
Udinese (11th, 32 points) sit comfortably in mid-table, 8 points and 5 positions clear of Fiorentina (16th, 24 points), who currently occupy a relegation zone spot. The gap provides Udinese with significant breathing room, while Fiorentina face genuine concern being level with the drop zone after 26 matches. Udinese's recent form shows recovery with back-to-back wins, while Fiorentina's inconsistency (2 wins, 2 losses recently) keeps them dangerously close to bottom-placed Pisa and Hellas Verona (both 15 points). The 8-point cushion makes this fixture crucial for contrasting reasons: consolidation versus survival urgency.
Recent Form Udinese - Fiorentina
Udinese
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
Lecce
Sassuolo
Bologna
Fiorentina
Torino
Como
Jagiellonia
Pisa
Form Analysis: Udinese vs Fiorentina
Current Form: Fiorentina arrives in superior form with 10 points from their last 5 matches (W-W-W-D-L), while Udinese struggles with just 6 points (L-L-L-W-W), suffering three consecutive defeats recently.
Recent Dynamics: Fiorentina has won three straight matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5. Udinese's momentum is negative, managing only 5 goals while conceding 6 in their last five outings.
Attacking/Defensive Performance: Fiorentina demonstrates stronger attacking output (8 goals vs 5) and marginally better defensive solidity (5 conceded vs 6) over the recent period.
Home/Away Factor: Udinese's home record shows 4 wins in 13 matches (13 goals scored, 18 conceded). Fiorentina's away form is modest with 2 wins in 13 (12 goals scored, 20 conceded), suggesting potential vulnerability on the road despite their current momentum.
Upcoming Matches
Udinese
Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Con
Season Stats Analysis: Udinese vs Fiorentina
Attacking Performance Comparison
Fiorentina holds a slight edge in attacking output with 30 goals (1.15 goals/match) compared to Udinese's 28 goals (1.08 goals/match). M. Kean leads Fiorentina's attack with 8 goals and 1 assist in 23 appearances, while Udinese's K. Davis has contributed 7 goals and 3 assists across 22 matches. Both teams have struggled offensively, failing to score 6 times each this season.
Defensive Solidity Analysis
Defensively, both sides are identical in vulnerability, conceding 39 goals at 1.5 goals/match. However, Udinese demonstrates marginally better resilience with 5 clean sheets versus Fiorentina's 4, suggesting slightly more organized defensive performances when they do shut out opponents.
Notable Statistics
Fiorentina's discipline is questionable with 56 yellow cards compared to Udinese's 48, both receiving 1 red card. From the penalty spot, both teams are perfect: Fiorentina 6/6 and Udinese 4/4. Any prediction for this fixture must consider their evenly matched defensive frailties and modest attacking capabilities.
Head to Head Udinese - Fiorentina
Historical Record Balance
Udinese holds the advantage in recent encounters with 3 victories compared to Fiorentina's 1 win and 1 draw across their last 5 meetings. This represents a clear edge for the Friulani in this fixture.
Recent Trends of Clashes
The rivalry has produced entertaining, goal-heavy affairs averaging 4 goals per match. Fiorentina's dominant 5-1 victory in December 2025 stands as the most emphatic result, while Udinese previously secured back-to-back wins in 2024-2025.
Notable Matches in History
The 5-1 thrashing by Fiorentina represents a significant turnaround after Udinese's 2-1 victory at Stadio Franchi in December 2024. The 3-2 thriller in May 2025 showcased both teams' attacking prowess.
Lessons for the Upcoming Match
Expect goals—both teams consistently find the net. Home advantage matters, though any prediction must account for Fiorentina's recent momentum shift despite Udinese's historical edge.
Udinese vs Fiorentina - Expert Analysis
Synthesis of Forces
This Serie A encounter presents a clear contrast in current form and momentum. While Udinese has demonstrated occasional resilience with sporadic positive results, Fiorentina arrives in exceptional shape, riding a three-match winning streak with clean sheets throughout. The Viola's defensive solidity combined with clinical finishing has transformed them into a formidable force.
Deciding Factors
The critical element will be Fiorentina's ability to maintain their defensive discipline while exploiting Udinese's vulnerabilities at the back. The home side's inconsistent goal prevention record suggests they'll struggle against a confident, free-flowing Fiorentina attack. The psychological advantage from recent head-to-head dominance (3 wins in 5 meetings) further tilts the balance toward the visitors.
Main Prediction
Fiorentina to Win - The away side's superior form, defensive organization, and attacking confidence make them clear favorites despite playing away from home.
Secondary Betting Tips
- Fiorentina Clean Sheet: Given their three consecutive shutouts
- Under 2.5 Goals: Fiorentina's defensive strength suggests a controlled match
- Fiorentina -1 Handicap: Value option for confident bettors
Conclusion
Expect Fiorentina to extend their winning run with a disciplined, professional performance. A 0-1 or 0-2 victory appears the most probable outcome.