Pronostic Udinese vs Fiorentina


Eight points separate these two sides, but recent form suggests this Serie A encounter at the Bluenergy Stadium on March 2, 2026 could be more competitive than the table indicates. Udinese, sitting comfortably in 11th place with 32 points, have endured a turbulent run with back-to-back defeats against Bologna (0-1) and Sassuolo (1-2) before recovering against Lecce (2-1). Meanwhile, Fiorentina, languishing in 16th position on 24 points, arrive with mixed fortunes—impressive victories over Pisa (1-0) and Jagiellonia (3-0) undermined by a setback against Como (1-2). The Viola desperately need points to ease relegation concerns, while the home side seeks consistency to cement their mid-table security.


Classement
Udinese #12 Home · Fiorentina #12 Away
Who dominates what?
Udinese VS Fiorentina
10e
Standings
15e
50
Season points
42
45
Goals scored
41
48
Goals conceded
50
Udinese dominates 4/4
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Pos Team JVNDBPBC+/−Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89 35 +54 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58 36 +22 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59 31 +28 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65 29 +36 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53 35 +18 70
…
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51 36 +15 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49 46 +3 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41 40 +1 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45 48 -3 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46 50 -4 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44 63 -19 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28 46 -18 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40 53 -13 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41 50 -9 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41 51 -10 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28 50 -22 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32 57 -25 34
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 25 61 -36 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26 71 -45 18
Pos Team JVNDBPBC+/−Pts
1 Inter 19 14 3 2 50 16 +34 45
2 Napoli 19 13 4 2 33 18 +15 43
3 AS Roma 19 13 3 3 33 10 +23 42
4 Juventus 19 10 7 2 35 16 +19 37
5 Como 19 10 6 3 35 15 +20 36
…
9 Sassuolo 19 9 2 8 25 26 -1 29
10 Torino 19 8 4 7 27 29 -2 28
11 Cagliari 19 7 4 8 22 23 -1 25
12 Udinese 19 6 5 8 18 21 -3 23
13 Bologna 19 6 4 9 19 23 -4 22
14 Genoa 19 6 4 9 22 26 -4 22
15 Fiorentina 19 4 9 6 21 21 +0 21
16 Parma 19 5 6 8 16 25 -9 21
17 Lecce 19 5 5 9 13 24 -11 20
18 Cremonese 19 3 7 9 18 29 -11 16
19 Pisa 19 2 4 13 9 26 -17 10
20 Hellas Verona 19 1 5 13 12 28 -16 8
Pos Team JVNDBPBC+/−Pts
1 Inter 19 13 3 3 39 19 +20 42
2 AC Milan 19 11 5 3 28 14 +14 38
3 Como 19 10 5 4 30 14 +16 35
4 Bologna 19 10 4 5 30 23 +7 34
5 Napoli 19 10 3 6 25 18 +7 33
6 Juventus 19 9 5 5 26 18 +8 32
7 AS Roma 19 10 1 8 26 21 +5 31
8 Udinese 19 8 3 8 27 27 +0 27
9 Atalanta 19 6 8 5 26 21 +5 26
10 Lazio 19 6 6 7 14 15 -1 24
11 Parma 19 6 6 7 12 21 -9 24
12 Fiorentina 19 5 6 8 20 29 -9 21
13 Sassuolo 19 5 5 9 21 24 -3 20
14 Genoa 19 4 7 8 19 25 -6 19
15 Lecce 19 5 3 11 15 26 -11 18
…
18 Torino 19 4 5 10 17 34 -17 17
19 Hellas Verona 19 2 7 10 13 33 -20 13
20 Pisa 19 0 8 11 17 45 -28 8

Udinese (11th, 32 points) sit comfortably in mid-table, 8 points and 5 positions clear of Fiorentina (16th, 24 points), who currently occupy a relegation zone spot. The gap provides Udinese with significant breathing room, while Fiorentina face genuine concern being level with the drop zone after 26 matches. Udinese's recent form shows recovery with back-to-back wins, while Fiorentina's inconsistency (2 wins, 2 losses recently) keeps them dangerously close to bottom-placed Pisa and Hellas Verona (both 15 points). The 8-point cushion makes this fixture crucial for contrasting reasons: consolidation versus survival urgency.


Forme récente
5 derniers matchs de chaque équipe
Udinese
Udinese
NVVDD
  • 27/04 · Serie A EXT
    Lazio
    3-3
  • 02/05 · Serie A DOM
    Torino
    2-0
  • 09/05 · Serie A EXT
    Cagliari
    2-0
  • 17/05 · Serie A DOM
    Cremonese
    0-1
  • 24/05 · Serie A EXT
    Napoli
    0-1
5-match record
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
7
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
2
Clean sheets
1.4
Avg. goals/match
1
Avg. conceded/match
7
Points
Decent form
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
NDNVN
  • 26/04 · Serie A DOM
    Sassuolo
    0-0
  • 04/05 · Serie A EXT
    AS Roma
    0-4
  • 10/05 · Serie A DOM
    Genoa
    0-0
  • 17/05 · Serie A EXT
    Juventus
    2-0
  • 22/05 · Serie A DOM
    Atalanta
    1-1
5-match record
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
3
Clean sheets
0.6
Avg. goals/match
1
Avg. conceded/match
6
Points
Decent form

Form Analysis: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Current Form: Fiorentina arrives in superior form with 10 points from their last 5 matches (W-W-W-D-L), while Udinese struggles with just 6 points (L-L-L-W-W), suffering three consecutive defeats recently.

Recent Dynamics: Fiorentina has won three straight matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5. Udinese's momentum is negative, managing only 5 goals while conceding 6 in their last five outings.

Attacking/Defensive Performance: Fiorentina demonstrates stronger attacking output (8 goals vs 5) and marginally better defensive solidity (5 conceded vs 6) over the recent period.

Home/Away Factor: Udinese's home record shows 4 wins in 13 matches (13 goals scored, 18 conceded). Fiorentina's away form is modest with 2 wins in 13 (12 goals scored, 20 conceded), suggesting potential vulnerability on the road despite their current momentum.


Upcoming Matches
Chaque équipe
Udinese
Udinese
No scheduled matches
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
No scheduled matches
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Statistiques saison
38 Matches played
Udinese VS Fiorentina
14
Wins
9
1.30
Points per Match
1.10
45
Goals scored
41
48
Goals conceded
50
1.20
Avg. goals scored/match
1.10
1.30
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.30
11
Clean sheets
10
-3
Goal difference
-9
Evolution over the last 10 matches
Cumulative goals over the last 10 matches

Season Stats Analysis: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Attacking Performance Comparison

Fiorentina holds a slight edge in attacking output with 30 goals (1.15 goals/match) compared to Udinese's 28 goals (1.08 goals/match). M. Kean leads Fiorentina's attack with 8 goals and 1 assist in 23 appearances, while Udinese's K. Davis has contributed 7 goals and 3 assists across 22 matches. Both teams have struggled offensively, failing to score 6 times each this season.

Defensive Solidity Analysis

Defensively, both sides are identical in vulnerability, conceding 39 goals at 1.5 goals/match. However, Udinese demonstrates marginally better resilience with 5 clean sheets versus Fiorentina's 4, suggesting slightly more organized defensive performances when they do shut out opponents.

Notable Statistics

Fiorentina's discipline is questionable with 56 yellow cards compared to Udinese's 48, both receiving 1 red card. From the penalty spot, both teams are perfect: Fiorentina 6/6 and Udinese 4/4. Any prediction for this fixture must consider their evenly matched defensive frailties and modest attacking capabilities.


Confrontations directes
20 recent matches
Udinese
5
25%
Draws
3
15%
Fiorentina
12
60%
50
Total goals
2.5
Avg. goals/match
35%
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5
Derniers matchs
  • 02/03/2026 Udinese 3 – 0 (1-0) Fiorentina ✓ Udi
  • 21/12/2025 Fiorentina 5 – 1 (3-0) Udinese ✓ Fio
  • 25/05/2025 Udinese 2 – 3 (1-0) Fiorentina ✓ Fio
  • 23/12/2024 Fiorentina 1 – 2 (1-0) Udinese ✓ Udi
  • 14/01/2024 Fiorentina 2 – 2 (0-1) Udinese NUL
  • 24/09/2023 Udinese 0 – 2 (0-1) Fiorentina ✓ Fio
  • 14/05/2023 Fiorentina 2 – 0 (1-0) Udinese ✓ Fio
  • 31/08/2022 Udinese 1 – 0 (1-0) Fiorentina ✓ Udi
Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Fiorentina
Current streak No streak
Biggest win 5-1 (Fiorentina)
Recent trend Very offensive

Historical Record Balance

Udinese holds the advantage in recent encounters with 3 victories compared to Fiorentina's 1 win and 1 draw across their last 5 meetings. This represents a clear edge for the Friulani in this fixture.

Recent Trends of Clashes

The rivalry has produced entertaining, goal-heavy affairs averaging 4 goals per match. Fiorentina's dominant 5-1 victory in December 2025 stands as the most emphatic result, while Udinese previously secured back-to-back wins in 2024-2025.

Notable Matches in History

The 5-1 thrashing by Fiorentina represents a significant turnaround after Udinese's 2-1 victory at Stadio Franchi in December 2024. The 3-2 thriller in May 2025 showcased both teams' attacking prowess.

Lessons for the Upcoming Match

Expect goals—both teams consistently find the net. Home advantage matters, though any prediction must account for Fiorentina's recent momentum shift despite Udinese's historical edge.


Notre pronostic
Udinese VS Fiorentina
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Udinese vs Fiorentina - Expert Analysis

Synthesis of Forces

This Serie A encounter presents a clear contrast in current form and momentum. While Udinese has demonstrated occasional resilience with sporadic positive results, Fiorentina arrives in exceptional shape, riding a three-match winning streak with clean sheets throughout. The Viola's defensive solidity combined with clinical finishing has transformed them into a formidable force.

Deciding Factors

The critical element will be Fiorentina's ability to maintain their defensive discipline while exploiting Udinese's vulnerabilities at the back. The home side's inconsistent goal prevention record suggests they'll struggle against a confident, free-flowing Fiorentina attack. The psychological advantage from recent head-to-head dominance (3 wins in 5 meetings) further tilts the balance toward the visitors.

Main Prediction

Fiorentina to Win - The away side's superior form, defensive organization, and attacking confidence make them clear favorites despite playing away from home.

Secondary Betting Tips

  • Fiorentina Clean Sheet: Given their three consecutive shutouts
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Fiorentina's defensive strength suggests a controlled match
  • Fiorentina -1 Handicap: Value option for confident bettors

Conclusion

Expect Fiorentina to extend their winning run with a disciplined, professional performance. A 0-1 or 0-2 victory appears the most probable outcome.


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