Prediction Nantes - Marseille

🏟️ Stade de la Beaujoire
Nantes
Nantes
17e au classement
D D D N N
-- J
:
-- H
:
-- M
:
-- S
Marseille
4e au classement
V V D D V
Marseille
📅 01/05/2026 · 18h45 Prediction Ligue 1
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Did you know that Nantes has not won a single match in their last five outings? As they prepare to face the formidable Marseille, who have been riding high with three wins in their last five, the stakes couldn’t be higher for the Canaries. Nestled precariously above the relegation zone, Nantes embodies the heart of an underdog, desperate to reclaim their pride on home soil. In contrast, the Olympians from Marseille are eager to solidify their Champions League ambitions, showcasing a team brimming with talent and confidence. This clash is not just a battle for points; it’s a gripping narrative of survival against a backdrop of ambition.


Standings

Nantes is 18th home team, Marseille is 6th away
⚔️ Who dominates what?
● Nantes Marseille ●
17e
Standings
4e
19
Season points
52
24
Goals scored
58
45
Goals conceded
38
Marseille dominates 4 duels out of 4
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 20 3 4 61 23 +38 63
2 Lens 28 19 2 7 54 27 +27 59
3 Lille 29 16 5 8 49 34 +15 53
4 Marseille 29 16 4 9 58 38 +20 52
5 Lyon 29 15 6 8 43 29 +14 51
6 Rennes 29 14 8 7 49 41 +8 50
7 Monaco 29 15 4 10 50 43 +7 49
...
14 Le Havre 29 6 11 12 24 37 -13 29
15 Nice 29 7 7 15 34 56 -22 28
16 Auxerre 29 5 9 15 23 37 -14 24
17 Nantes 28 4 7 17 24 45 -21 19
18 Metz 29 3 6 20 26 63 -37 15
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Lens 14 12 0 2 31 9 +22 36
2 Paris Saint Germain 13 11 1 1 34 8 +26 34
3 Marseille 15 10 3 2 37 18 +19 33
4 Lyon 14 10 1 3 23 10 +13 31
5 Monaco 15 10 1 4 31 20 +11 31
6 Rennes 15 8 4 3 26 15 +11 28
...
15 Nice 15 4 6 5 18 26 -8 18
16 Auxerre 15 4 4 7 13 15 -2 16
17 Metz 14 2 4 8 13 23 -10 10
18 Nantes 14 2 2 10 14 26 -12 8
Pos Team P W D L GF GA +/- Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 14 9 2 3 27 15 +12 29
2 Lille 15 8 2 5 26 20 +6 26
3 Lens 14 7 2 5 23 18 +5 23
4 Rennes 14 6 4 4 23 26 -3 22
5 Lyon 15 5 5 5 20 19 +1 20
6 Marseille 14 6 1 7 21 20 +1 19
7 Monaco 14 5 3 6 19 23 -4 18
8 Toulouse 14 5 2 7 18 18 +0 17
9 Strasbourg 14 4 4 6 22 24 -2 16
10 Paris FC 15 3 7 5 15 20 -5 16
11 Stade Brestois 29 14 3 3 8 14 26 -12 12
12 Angers 15 3 3 9 9 24 -15 12
13 Nantes 14 2 5 7 10 19 -9 11
14 Lorient 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11
15 Nice 14 3 1 10 16 30 -14 10
16 Auxerre 14 1 5 8 10 22 -12 8
17 Le Havre 14 1 4 9 8 24 -16 7
18 Metz 15 1 2 12 13 40 -27 5

Nantes finds itself in a perilous position, 17th on the table, staring at relegation's looming shadow, while Marseille strides confidently in 4th place, eyes set on Champions League glory. The 33-point chasm between them speaks volumes; Nantes is battling for survival, whereas Marseille is thriving, riding a wave of recent victories. At home, Nantes has struggled to assert dominance, while Marseille’s away form showcases resilience. For bettors, the odds tilt heavily in favor of the visitors, but in football, every match tells a story. Nantes' desperation could ignite a spark, making them potential outsiders in this asymmetric clash.


Recent Form

Nantes

Nantes

D
D
D
N
N
01/03 L1
EXT
Lille
0-1
07/03 L1
DOM
Angers
0-1
22/03 L1
DOM
Strasbourg
2-3
05/04 L1
EXT
Metz
0-0
11/04 L1
EXT
Auxerre
0-0
5-match record
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
2 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
2 Clean sheets
0.4 Moy. buts/match
1 Moy. encaissés/match
2 Points
Bad run
3 losing streak
Marseille

Marseille

V
V
D
D
V
07/03 L1
EXT
Toulouse
1-0
13/03 L1
DOM
Auxerre
1-0
22/03 L1
DOM
Lille
1-2
05/04 L1
EXT
Monaco
1-2
10/04 L1
DOM
Metz
3-1
5-match record
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
7 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
2 Clean sheets
1.4 Avg. goals/match
1 Avg. conceded/match
9 Points
Very good form

Nantes finds itself in a downward spiral, desperately searching for a flicker of hope amidst a string of disappointing results. The Canaries have struggled to find the back of the net, with only two goals scored in their last five matches. Facing teams like Strasbourg and Angers, who sit lower in the standings, only amplifies their woes, casting shadows over their attacking capabilities. Their home ground, once a fortress, has become a haunted house, with just two wins to show for their efforts this season.

In stark contrast, Marseille arrives in Nantes with a bounce in their step, buoyed by recent victories against mid-table opponents. Their offensive prowess shines through with six goals scored lately, and despite a couple of setbacks against tougher rivals like Monaco and Lille, they’ve shown resilience. The challenge now lies in maintaining their momentum away from home, where consistency has eluded them. Confidence is palpable among the Olympians, who seem primed to capitalize on Nantes' fragility.


Upcoming Matches

Nantes

Nantes

Sun 19 Apr at 15:15
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
Home
Wed 22 Apr at 17:00
Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
Away
Marseille

Marseille

Sat 18 Apr at 15:00
Ligue 1
Lorient
Away
Sun 26 Apr at 18:45
Ligue 1
Nice
Home
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Complete Statistics

Current season — 28 matches played

● Nantes VS Marseille ●
4
Wins
16
0.7
Points per Match
1.8
24
Goals scored
58
45
Goals conceded
38
0.9
Avg. goals scored/match
2
1.6
Avg. goals conceded/match
1.3
6
Clean sheets
8
-21
Goal difference
20
📈 Evolution over the last 10 matches
⚽ Cumulative goals over the last 10 matches

Key Scorers: For Nantes, the lack of a standout scorer is evident, with no player stepping up to claim the title of top scorer, leading to a concerning offensive dependency. In stark contrast, Marseille boasts the dynamic duo of M. Greenwood and P. Aubameyang, who have combined for 24 goals and 11 assists. Greenwood's prowess as a versatile striker-playmaker contrasts with Aubameyang's role as a pure finisher, making them a formidable pairing.

Defensively, Nantes has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match and failing to score in 12 games. This lack of firepower could be exploited by Marseille, who not only boasts a better defensive record but also a more aggressive style, reflected in their 60 yellow cards and 4 reds, compared to Nantes' 50 yellows and 2 reds.

Both teams have shown a tendency towards high-scoring matches, with Marseille's games frequently exceeding 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Nantes struggles with their BTTS (Both Teams to Score) percentage, further highlighting their offensive deficiencies. Expect the battle to be fierce, with cards being a likely feature as both teams push for dominance on the pitch.


Head to Head

20 recent matches

NANTES
5
25%
Draws
5
25%
MARSEILLE
10
50%
53 Total goals
2.7 Avg. goals/match
65% Both teams score
45% Over 2.5
04/01/2026
Marseille
0 – 2
(0-1)
Nantes
✓ Nan
02/03/2025
Marseille
2 – 0
(0-0)
Nantes
✓ Mar
03/11/2024
Nantes
1 – 2
(1-1)
Marseille
✓ Mar
10/03/2024
Marseille
2 – 0
(1-0)
Nantes
✓ Mar
01/09/2023
Nantes
1 – 1
(1-1)
Marseille
NUL
01/02/2023
Nantes
0 – 2
(0-0)
Marseille
✓ Mar
20/08/2022
Marseille
2 – 1
(0-0)
Nantes
✓ Mar
20/04/2022
Marseille
3 – 2
(1-2)
Nantes
✓ Mar
📊 Head-to-head analysis
Dominant team Marseille
Current streak No streak
Biggest win 0-2 (Nantes)
Recent trend Balanced

Dans l'évolution de cette rivalité, Nantes a récemment pris le dessus, avec trois victoires sur les cinq dernières confrontations. Historiquement, Marseille a souvent été un adversaire redouté, mais les Canaris ont démontré une résilience impressionnante, particulièrement lors de leurs déplacements. Les rencontres ont tendance à être serrées, avec des scores typiques comme 2-0 et 0-2, mais également une tendance vers des matchs à faible score, renforçant l'idée que chaque but compte dans ce duel.

Le facteur maison joue un rôle clé; Marseille reste invaincu à domicile contre Nantes, tandis que les Nantais s'épanouissent sur leur propre terrain. Psychologiquement, Nantes semble avoir brisé une partie du complexe d'infériorité, osant désormais défier les Olympiens avec audace. Pour les parieurs, avec un historique favorable aux matchs à plus de 2,5 buts, exploiter cette dynamique pourrait être judicieux si les cotes sont attrayantes.



Marseille wins against Nantes, leveraging their superior league position and attacking capabilities, combined with a solid defensive record that has seen them secure clean sheets throughout the season. Despite Nantes’ resilience at home, Marseille’s recent form, punctuated by a crucial win, suggests they have the momentum to seize this match.

Expect an Over 2.5 goals scenario as both teams engage in a lively contest, with Marseille averaging two goals per match. Their head-to-head record further indicates a propensity for high-scoring affairs, hinting at both teams finding the back of the net.

A potential value bet could be on Marseille winning by exactly two goals, reflecting their attacking prowess and Nantes’ struggles to contain high-caliber offenses this season. The odds may underprice this outcome given Marseille's historical dominance in this fixture.

This match has the air of a trap game; Nantes, playing at home, could catch Marseille off-guard if they underestimate their opponent's fighting spirit. Expect a gritty battle.

Final score prediction: 3-1 to Marseille, as they capitalize on their attacking flair and Nantes' defensive vulnerabilities, with the visitors showcasing their strength in front of goal.


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